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Search took 0.06 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: denniswilliams
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 01:47 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 1,261
Posted By denniswilliams
Bad style to criticize someone's picks AFTER the...

Bad style to criticize someone's picks AFTER the race.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-06-2024, 05:15 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 140
Posted By denniswilliams
Corrections have been made to the GPS chart ...

Corrections have been made to the GPS chart

Sierra Leone now 17/17/8

Forever Young now 16/16/7

Resilience now 8/8/2


Well done, Equibase.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-06-2024, 04:45 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 1,874
Posted By denniswilliams
Wonder what happens if Forever Young's jock...

Wonder what happens if Forever Young's jock doesn't repeatedly stick lefty upon straightening out. Of course, SL has a habit of getting in but not for the length of the stretch. Continual lefty...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-06-2024, 01:44 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 3,154
Posted By denniswilliams
If you chart the race, Resilience is the obvious...

If you chart the race, Resilience is the obvious stickout.

You'll also notice that this year's race fell apart sooner than Mage and Rich Strike's races.

The field was done at 8F, while it...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-06-2024, 11:10 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 202
Posted By denniswilliams
Tough to fully trust the GPS figures when they...

Tough to fully trust the GPS figures when they butchered the running line of Sierra Leone.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-06-2024, 11:08 AM
Replies: 46
Views: 3,154
Posted By denniswilliams
Pace/speed figures can't really explain races...

Pace/speed figures can't really explain races like the Bluegrass or the Holy Bull. In the past, any concerns that the figure didn't capture the flow were just dismissed. Domestic Product should be...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-05-2024, 05:26 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 394
Posted By denniswilliams
One I'd be interested in seeing back from the...

One I'd be interested in seeing back from the Derby is Resilience. No way that's happening with Mott.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-05-2024, 05:21 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 3,643
Posted By denniswilliams
Look at the GPS chart; the last furlong. Then...

Look at the GPS chart; the last furlong. Then watch the headon of the stretch run. It should be obvious what they were doing.
Forum: Off Topic - General 05-05-2024, 04:58 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 460
Posted By denniswilliams
Inside Trump’s plan to deport ‘nearly 20 million’ illegal migrants from the US

We can dream

https://nypost.com/2024/05/05/us-news/inside-trumps-plan-to-deport-nearly-20-million-migrants-from-the-us/
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-05-2024, 04:01 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 140
Posted By denniswilliams
Equibase GPS to PDF position comparison top 6 Derby

Going to look at 4F, 6F and 1M POSITION comparisons, as these splits are consistent between the two types of charts. Top 6 only

Mystik Dan GPS: 6th / 4th / 1st PDF: 6th / 4th / 1st
...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-05-2024, 03:36 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 1,874
Posted By denniswilliams
Both jocks are to blame. Each could have gotten...

Both jocks are to blame. Each could have gotten out of the bumpfest and won the race. All they had to do was pull their horses off THEN bust them with the whip, if necessary.

Gaffalione has...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-05-2024, 03:28 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 1,874
Posted By denniswilliams
Watch the headon of his maiden win - Manny up. ...

Watch the headon of his maiden win - Manny up.

Watch the headon of the Remsen - Jose Ortiz up (laughable)

Watch headons of his races with Gaffalione up.

I kept asking myself, as the race...
Forum: Selections 05-05-2024, 01:27 AM
Replies: 168
Views: 19,099
Posted By denniswilliams
Ran 8-6-10 with the 8 wiring. Poor ride on the 1....

Ran 8-6-10 with the 8 wiring. Poor ride on the 1.

Race 3 1200M DIRT

:11: Spangle Fortune
:6: HinoKami Kagura
:9: Strive for Glory
Forum: Selections 05-05-2024, 12:58 AM
Replies: 168
Views: 19,099
Posted By denniswilliams
Chalk won the 1st Race 2 200M turf No...

Chalk won the 1st

Race 2 200M turf

No real value here and more of a test as to how the track is playing.

Quinella :6: Joyful Champion & :1: Colourful Baron


:9: Diamond Winner - might...
Forum: Selections 05-05-2024, 12:23 AM
Replies: 168
Views: 19,099
Posted By denniswilliams
Race 1 - turf track good-yielding and dirt track...

Race 1 - turf track good-yielding and dirt track upgraded from wet-slow to good.

1000M Griffin race. :8: La Forza, beaten chalk last out - though ran well- looks tough and is currently 4:5. A few...
Forum: Selections 05-04-2024, 09:50 PM
Replies: 168
Views: 19,099
Posted By denniswilliams
Sha Tin 5/5/24 - 2 DIRT 9 TURF RACES. No...

Sha Tin 5/5/24 - 2 DIRT 9 TURF RACES.

No idea the track condition but it's been raining in the area, apparently. Purton has been complaining about the turf track @ Sha Tin for months - too soft...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-04-2024, 05:39 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 3,643
Posted By denniswilliams
Look at your chart. What's unique about Seize the...

Look at your chart. What's unique about Seize the Grey's flow?
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-04-2024, 02:43 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 3,643
Posted By denniswilliams
$100 win parlay :2: Sierra Leone to Sha Tin Race...

$100 win parlay :2: Sierra Leone to Sha Tin Race 7 :1: Daring Pursuit
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-03-2024, 05:28 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 448
Posted By denniswilliams
:11:

:11:
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-03-2024, 02:28 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,088
Posted By denniswilliams
Turned on America's Day at the Races just in time...

Turned on America's Day at the Races just in time (as it turned out) for the Sheepshead Bay GIII $200,000 (some nice memories of this race)

Bad News: 5 horse field - 2 Brown's

Good News: Acacia...
Forum: Selections 05-03-2024, 02:14 PM
Replies: 74
Views: 2,661
Posted By denniswilliams
How many computer teams are making a killing...

How many computer teams are making a killing using Taulbot angles? And think of all those years where everyone could've been making a killing simply by betting these angles. Boggles the mind.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-03-2024, 11:49 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 1,456
Posted By denniswilliams
2022 had 6 horses gaining or running relatively...

2022 had 6 horses gaining or running relatively evenly the final split.
2023 had a single horse gaining and 1 running relatively evenly, with the 'field' backing up significantly more than 2022.
...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-03-2024, 11:48 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 493
Posted By denniswilliams
As usual, astute insight. Much is made of SL's...

As usual, astute insight. Much is made of SL's size and propensity to lug in in the stretch. What's been missed is that the horse has proven to be really easy to handle at other points in the race. ...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-02-2024, 07:46 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 2,105
Posted By denniswilliams
But he wasn't trained in a 'sneaky way'. And,...

But he wasn't trained in a 'sneaky way'.
And, he actually gained a little on Muth the last split - the only horse to do so in the race.

MD covered 6 more feet than JS per the GPS data....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-02-2024, 02:20 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 1,870
Posted By denniswilliams
Hard to make sense of the appeal of this horse. ...

Hard to make sense of the appeal of this horse.

Gets dusted badly by Sierra Leone and Catching Freedom in the Risen Star, with CF on the wrong lead. CF straightens out his footwork and dusts him...
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