Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
The TVG guys can't handicap their way out of a wet paper bag, and their bosses know it. When you can't find a decent bet even with a search warrant, then you stop making win recommendations...because this will reveal your ignorance in no-time. Instead, you tout a bunch of pick-4s where it cost you something like $96 to hit for 50 cents. That way, when you miss on the bet, you can brag to your audience about how "close" you came to scoring...and when you win but don't recoup your original investment, you can appear shocked and say that the bet paid so little because too many bettors followed your advice.
There is nothing of a "nefarious" nature taking place out there...and the TVG "experts" aren't out to 'destroy' their audience. They are just trying to hide their own handicapping ignorance so they can keep their jobs...and passing out ill-conceived horizontal bets is the easiest way of accomplishing this. It's called "survival'.
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I don't watch much TVG anymore but some of those guys are decent handicappers. I just think the network's obsession with Pick 4-5-6's is ill advised.
I think one of the best things they have done is the $10 win insurance. Give a newbie 7 or 8 opportunities to bet $10 to win and get their $10 back if they run second or third. The newbie's bankroll stays intact much longer giving them a longer learning curve to understand handicapping and betting while giving them an opportunity to make a 10% or 20% "rebate."
If I had started out playing the ponies in the 80's betting on Pick 4's and Pick 5's I would not have lasted two months. But I'd probably be pretty good at golf now.
