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[equusvates]

At the risk of boring some, I created this graph for a guy at Los Alamitos who could not believe how unpredictable a horse's next performance will be. As Pizzolla said, the best indication of a horse's condition, is it's last race unless it is not. Again, the graph displays each paceline final, true, pace number for each race. I displayed it for him in DRF numbers, my pace number and Pizzolla numbers. My program attempts to pick a paceline to rate the horse. The program needs a very good reason to go past the last race.

I am sharing so you can do the same and see for yourself. This can be done in Excel.