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Thread: Gallop Out
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Old 03-11-2024, 01:51 AM   #7
Robert Fischer
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with the vast majority of these things...

It don't pay very much value, when truth is known by all. Usually it's just a matter of how much you will 'lose' on those types of wagers...

Without an edge in opinion, even there you don't want to be making significant wagers.

If he's favorite because of gallop-out probably should be an auto bet-against if he has other certain weaknesses.

If you picked him because of gallop-out, and now he's favorite because of gallop-out, you pretty much auto-auto-Toss him, unless you can string legs or placings to vulnerable chalk.


So you want something to happen in the gallop-out...


you want there to be a story about why it happened...

and you want to see that your focus horse is against the grain and/or bias...

Hopefully he closed against the grain/bias or hopefully he outlasted the other pace while going too fast up front (in that case you'd be looking at the gallop-out and considering it, extrapolating it, even if the horse was basically pulled up before the turn ('zero' gallop out was how good? under these circumstances?).

the scenario described prior (said horse actual closing ground after the finish line and galloped-out on the 'Lead' (which is why half of us in the thread here probably 'saw' the horse at all)).

You still may not have found any game-changing value; but you are running through the check lists and seeing the various scenarios and options. If it's not there after you try on a few of the tactics, you move on to the next one. Can't make something out of nothing.
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