Quote:
Originally Posted by racenomics
If he’s got a 50% chance of winning then he’s gotta be your bet right? I can’t imagine him going off below 2-1
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Nope because I don't look for runners everyone else is betting. I see a 50% chance of a large exotic pool payout to bet into. I'd say the race is a definite exacta play, but the big question to me is will Fierceness fade to a 4th place finish. Then the smaller outlay money wise becomes an even better proposition. The difference between me, and guys like you, are you're trying to pinch a few pennies off frequent wins. I don't mind losing because all I need is one hit and, I'm in the black for the rest of the year at a minimum. Once every few years I hit a really good one.
