Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
Maybe the 3rd finisher ran the best race, maybe not. Nothing is simplistic in this game. What if the pace was average and the other horses near the front were all big longshots and the closers were the favorites?
Looking at the flow is a factor, but not in isolation in my opinion.
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This was an interesting race. The 3rd finisher won next out paying $17. The 9th finisher ran 3rd in the same race @ 49:1, beaten 3/4 of a length. But that race went 4-3-2-1 around the track on a day that appeared to favor front runners. Interested in how the winner runs back as everything else in the race backed up the last 200M in relation to its run.
As for the pace, without adjustments, based on the HKG pars for class and distance by split:
slow .1
fast .29
slow 1.36
fast .1
overall SLOW 1.07 on a day that was .62 slow average
