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Personally, I make it much simpler. Not saying I am right it is just how I roll. When I handicap I go with principles, angles, techniques that are effective for me. To me an e p or s designation is all I care about and I am not using Bris to make that determination for me. I generally look for extremes. Too much early pace or too little early pace. My pace figures also play a part in all this. I make my assessment of the pace bet accordingly and realize that i will be wrong often. I will try to do better next race if I make a mistake. My personal opinion and you are welcome to disagree is that you are trying too hard.
Figure out what works for you. Simple process. Assess a race pace. Watch the race. Where were you right, where were you wrong. Did you make any blatant errors or did something unexpected happen. Next race do it again and keep doing it until everything starts to make sense.
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