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Old 03-07-2024, 04:29 PM   #6
JustRalph
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
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Quote:
Originally Posted by denniswilliams View Post
WATCH RACES
Great point!

Btw, why is this even used anymore?

The teams are picking out the most likely winners nowadays.

Rarely should you bet against them, right?

Years back when I was using jcapper (doing this by memory) I believe “S” types were only winning 8-11% and the 11% was in odd races where there was very little speed. This was due to “S” type didn’t have as much ground to makeup. There are exceptions but why waste your time when the exceptions will be 2-1 or less?

The only other “S” winners were in races with huge early speed with one or more horses outweighing the rest in early speed. Throw in distance differences and you could almost always eliminate the “S” types as winners.

Price horses were those early runners that had some reason to improve or they showed moderate improvement every race (usually after a layoff or a youngster coming up)

I don’t see any reason to be chasing running styles anymore. But I only play a few times a year now ……

Just my .02
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Last edited by JustRalph; 03-07-2024 at 04:30 PM.
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