I got a cool saddlecloth from this race from Thoroughbred aftercare at the NHC this year, so I thought I should handicap it.
P# PP Horse VS A/S Med Jockey Wgt Trainer M/L
Mystic Lake (FL)
3/F
F Prat
120
S A Joseph, Jr. 6/1
multiple stakes winner with a lot of early foot, Prat rides. Two big runs at 7F. Leaning elsewhere for the winner but will use underneath
Value Area (KY)
3/F
118
T A Pletcher 15/1
Never out of the money in eight races, but took six races to break maiden. Don't see Pletcher at 15-1 very often. Pass
Youalmosthadme (KY)
3/F
T Gaffalione
124
B H Cox 2/1
Another one never out of the money, multiple stakes winner, top connections, top Beyer, will be tough to beat. Deserving favorite
Launch (KY)
3/F
L Saez
120
J Delgado 9/2
3 for 3 on fast dirt, stakes winner on dirt, excellent gate jockey. Hard not to like
Lady Moscato (KY)
3/F
L Dettori
122
D W Lukas 6/1
Poor run in the slop at CD two weeks ago in the 8 Belles, big run two back at Oaklawn, quick turnaround. Definitely using in exacta
Miss Harriett (MD)
3/F
J Rodriguez
120
B McFarlane 15/1
Stakes winner turning back in distance. Last two wins on the front end, can't see getting to the front here.
Carmelina (PA)
3/F
M J Sanchez
120
R E Reid, Jr. 12/1
Turns back from 1 1/8, likes to run on the front end. Stakes winner at 7F.
Surprise package?
Closing Act (TX)
3/F
J Rosario
122
S M Asmussen 15/1
2nd off long layoff. Exits restricted stakes score. Asmussen and Rosario. Some things to like but seems up against it. Will use on bottom
Cap Classique (KY)
3/F
S Russell
120
B T Russell 12/1
Long layoff only loss to Carmelina. High percentage connections, light on figures. Need to see one before backing on top
Discreet Ops (KY)
3/F
J C Alvelo
118
B M Feliciano, Jr. 12/1
2 for 2 against lesser, gets the acid test today. Leaning elsewhere
Let Them Watch (FL)
3/F
J Rosado
120
M J Maker 20/1
Multiple stakes winner in Florida. Trounced by favorite last year. Seems up against it
Belle's Blue Bell (FL)
3/F
J Bravo
118
C A David
Light on figs, seems up against it
Big field and trifecta could be good even with favorite winning. I was always high on Lady Moscato, price should be right. Pick for the upset.
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trifecta wheel. WP #5
