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05-04-2024, 05:08 PM
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#46
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,938
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05-04-2024, 05:08 PM
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#47
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,687
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aerocraft67
So what's the take, downgrade  Sierra Leone and  Just a Touch? |
Top Connor had a nightmare trip from hell. He had trouble at the start, was rushed into the race early and then was hung very wide around the turn. Given the trip, I think he actually ran well.
Seize the Grey (winner) came out of the Bluegrass.
I'm not sure that proved anything about the Bluegrass race flow, but I think the overall race looks solid.
I'm playing Sierra Leone and Catching Freedom to Win and using them the most on top. I also used Just a Touch, Forever Young and Honor Marie in exotics. I threw a few dollars to win on Domestic Product as a sanity bet even though I'm not sure how good he is.
The one small negative for me is that I'm heavily weighted towards closers and the track seems a bit tilted towards horses that are racing on or near the lead. But sometimes the long routes play differently. If Fierceness wins I lose. Won't be the first time. 
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
Last edited by classhandicapper; 05-04-2024 at 05:15 PM.
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05-04-2024, 05:32 PM
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#48
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,507
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Ky Derby
On one of my two betting days a year now, we'll see how it goes.
 . 
,  ,
Arrived at these using a completely mechanical technique learned from the great Dick Schmidt, via the Sartin group, which has been doing well for me in this race for the last few years. Re the tiers: appears to be about 3 lengths ahead of the second tier horses, and those two appear to be about 2 lengths ahead of the third tier. If the shows any ability to rate, believe he should win this easily.
Best of luck to all.
lansdale
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05-04-2024, 05:39 PM
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#49
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2023
Posts: 324
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
Seize the Grey (winner) came out of the Bluegrass.
I'm not sure that proved anything about the Bluegrass race flow, but I think the overall race looks solid.
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Look at your chart. What's unique about Seize the Grey's flow?
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05-04-2024, 05:56 PM
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#50
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2018
Location: South of heaven
Posts: 387
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Not bothering with exotics….doing minimal wagers this year.
Show bets on Endlessly, West Saratoga, and Stronghold.
WPS on Forever Young, Sierra Leone, and Just Steel.
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05-04-2024, 06:13 PM
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#51
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 116
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My Friend's Picks Erudito
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05-04-2024, 06:19 PM
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#52
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Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 742
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05-04-2024, 06:25 PM
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#53
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Random Numbers Generator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: In the grandstand looking under the seats for tickets or food
Posts: 2,310
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$50 W on
There, they are kaboshed.
__________________
Where will you be when diarrhea strikes?
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05-04-2024, 07:23 PM
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#54
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 3,537
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Congratulations Pace Advantage and Groupiedoll for having winning tickets
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05-04-2024, 07:49 PM
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#55
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,938
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bisket
Congratulations Pace Advantage and Groupiedoll for having winning tickets
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Thanks...the win bet saved me...but that's what it was for, actually...lol
All my exotics went down the drain...but I'll take the $40 winner
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05-04-2024, 08:11 PM
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#56
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 116
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
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Congratulations! You got them all almost! I wonder how much they paid?
See you later.
Triopstor.
Last edited by Triopstor; 05-04-2024 at 08:13 PM.
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05-04-2024, 09:23 PM
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#57
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2018
Posts: 444
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bisket
Congratulations Pace Advantage and Groupiedoll for having winning tickets
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Thanks bisket! Reverse the 3rd and 4th and I had the tri. The WPS and extra win $ I had on Dan helped.
Congrats to you as well 
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05-04-2024, 09:31 PM
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#58
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2021
Posts: 2,188
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Had $100 WP on the 
$40 Ex Box
That was painful. 
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05-04-2024, 10:13 PM
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#59
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2018
Location: South of heaven
Posts: 387
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PalaceOfFortLarned
Had $100 WP on the
$40 Ex Box
That was painful. |
That’s a very expensive 8 inches.
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05-05-2024, 09:47 AM
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#60
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,687
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Quote:
Originally Posted by denniswilliams
Look at your chart. What's unique about Seize the Grey's flow?
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I didn’t notice anything especially unusual other than IF you thought the flow favored the front, he was disadvantaged by being taken far back early and a bit wide. I didn’t see enough evidence in his record to think he was as good as he ran yesterday but you could make a case that he might be better than he looked off the BG.
If you saw something else specific in the flow or trouble, I’d be happy to know.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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