Churchill for Wednesday 5/1/24

[Poindexter]

Much rougher card today. Remember if I have a top choice they are bolded, contenders are listed in post position order. These are the horses I plan on using in the multi leg exotics. No singles on this card.


1st) Pass. I would have to buy the race and there just isn't anyone that even resembles being a top choice to me.

2nd) No clue. All 1sters.

3rd) 3-7-8 (3 & 7 are the obvious, the 8 is an interesting longshot to me).

4th)Unexciting race. I think you might have to buy it. At least I have a top choice in the #5.

5th) Another tough one. 1-3-5-6-7-8

6th) If it stays on turf 1-3-4-5-6-9-11

7th) 1-2-5-7

8th) 3-5-6-7

9th) 1-4-6-11

10th) 1-5-9-11-12

Good luck.

[Poindexter]

Ammending for scratches(removing scratched horses). Only change is in race 9 where I am adding two horses and removing the top choice status on the #1. Not sure between him and the 13 who deserves that status.

1st) Pass. I would have to buy the race and there just isn't anyone that even resembles being a top choice to me.

2nd) No clue. All 1sters.

3rd) 3-7-8 (3 & 7 are the obvious, the 8 is an interesting longshot to me).

4th)Unexciting race. I think you might have to buy it. At least I have a top choice in the #5.

5th) Another tough one. 1-3-5-6-8

6th)1-3-4-5-6-9-11

7th) 1-2-5-7

8th) 3-5-6-7

9th) 1-4-6-11-13-14

10th) 1-5-9-11-12

Btw on cards like these, I generally look for a price I really like and key that horse as a single on a smallish double or pick 3 play. Going 5x6x5x6 in a pick 4 sans a carryover is stupid, not to mention out of my budget. But I might find an interesting value horse and go 1x5x6 for $30. If the price on that horse is right and I like his chances I have no problem doing that.

[Ahorsewithnoname]

Race 2
# Sing Sing

[Ahorsewithnoname]

Originally Posted by Ahorsewithnoname

Race 2
# Sing Sing

With a better start probably gets first or second
Show 7-1

[Ahorsewithnoname]

Race 3
# Spuns Son

[Poindexter]

Recap



1st) Pass. I would have to buy the race and there just isn't anyone that even resembles being a top choice to me.

2nd) No clue. All 1sters.

3rd) 3-7-8 (3 & 7 are the obvious, the 8 is an interesting longshot to me).

Results 2-8-3-7 2 wins at 18-1

4th)Unexciting race. I think you might have to buy it. At least I have a top choice in the #5.

Results 8-7-1-4 8 wins at 3-1


5th) Another tough one. 1-3-5-6-8

Results 3-1-5-4 3 wins at 9/2

6th)1-3-4-5-6-9-11

3 late scratch Results 9-6-7-4 9 wins at 5/2

7th) 1-2-5-7

Results 8-5-2-1 8 wins at 9/2

8th) 3-5-6-7

Results 7-1-6-3 top choice 7 wins at 4/5

9th) 1-4-6-11-13-14

Results

7-11-1-6 7 wins at 29-1



10th) 1-5-9-11-12

Results 12-4-11-1 Top choice 12 wins at 4-1



A little note. I have a little bug in my handicapping process (not my program), that I will correct. It is hard to explain. But my focus used to be on one set of numbers. My current focus is on another set of numbers and truth be told I have to give my older set of numbers more weight. I know what I am doing wrong and hopefully going forward will do a little better.